Just to be fair, there are two LDs I couldn’t review cause I couldn’t find the initial round posts.
So, if we review Ludum Dare voting since we have converted to the +1/0/-1 system, we see some trends:
- The winners are always one of the top two themes from a previous round.
- 70% of them have been first place.
So what does that mean for this time…
Here are the two two themes in each of the rounds, ranked in order of score:
- [+58] Technology out of place in Time (Or Anachronism) (1st place Round 4)
- [+52] Enemies as Weapons (1st place Round 1)
- [+51] Cooperation (1st place Round 3)
- [+50] Evolution (2nd place Round 1)
- [+36] Rain (2nd place Round 3)
- [+32] Hidden Depths (2nd place Round 4)
- [+23] Claustrophobia (1st place Round 2)
- [+18] Cloning (2nd place Round 2)
From this we can observe certain facts:
- About 300 or so people voted. We will use this number for percentages.
- First off, obviously Round 2 sucked. There were 3rd and 4th places in other rounds that outscored our two candidates from Round 2, so we can probably count them out.
- Evolution very often has a strong showing in the preliminary rounds, and then drops out at the end. Plus it is believed that the world might end if the Ludum Dare theme is Evolution
- If we discount Evolution, there’s a 15 point gap between 3rd and 5th. 15 people is about 5% of the population, which would be a pretty big swing.
From this, we can pretty safely predict that Anachronism, Cooperation, or Enemies as Weapons will come out on top.
Interesting analysis.
These themes look good on the surface, but upon serious consideration we find that they’re very difficult to work with. You don’t rate a politician highly if their promises of hope are unrealistic. Likewise, don’t judge a theme by the romantic images it conjures in your imagination, but by whether or not it will convert into a simple game.
I’m realizing this as I try to come up with an idea for each… they all seem a bit shallow, ah well it’ll be a challenge anyways.
Oh just rip off a steampunk, 2 player Kirby and you’ve covered all 3.
Dang, that sucks. I hate most of these!
Yes. Quite. *puffs on a pipe and swirls his snifter of brandy*
You know, one of my hobbies is watching analysts being proven wrong. Just sayin’.
Mine too, but there’s not too many for analyse in here, since the number speak by themselves. I run this very same concept when the round 4 ended and got to the same conclusion: Enemyes as weapons or claustrophobia will be the theme, im quite confident about that… but if we are wrong, i wont be susprised either.
DOUBLE ZOMBIE RAINBOWS >:(
Love it
Isn’t Enemies as Weapons previously done? What theme caused Metagun to be created?